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	<title>Redfin Corporate Blog: Notes on Redfin, technology, real estate and life at a startup. &#187; Joyti Goundar</title>
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		<title>Good News for People Who Like Bad News (Redfin Upgrade is Working)</title>
		<link>http://blog.redfin.com/blog/2008/11/good_news_for_people_who_like_bad_news_redfin_upgrade_is_working.html</link>
		<comments>http://blog.redfin.com/blog/2008/11/good_news_for_people_who_like_bad_news_redfin_upgrade_is_working.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Nov 2008 01:24:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Glenn Kelman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Joyti Goundar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Reitman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Marshall Park]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Redfin Select]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Will Redfin Succeed?]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[We waste a lot of time at Redfin trying to predict the future. Every business does I guess, but the speculation at a startup is especially poignant because the future is where you&#8217;ve pinned all your hopes.
When we launched the big upgrade to our home-buying service, with unlimited home tours, agent choice and a higher [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We waste a lot of time at Redfin trying to predict the future. Every business does I guess, but the speculation at a startup is especially poignant because the future is where you&#8217;ve pinned all your hopes.</p>
<p>When we <a href="http://blog.redfin.com/blog/2008/11/our_shot_at_the_mass_market.html" title="Redfin launches service upgrade">launched the big upgrade to our home-buying service</a>, with unlimited home tours, agent choice and a higher price, we figured offer volumes would initially fall through the floor, only to build back up after people had worked their way through a longer (but better!) process.</p>
<p><strong>What the Data Tells Us</strong><br />
What really happened was much better. The table below compares Redfin&#8217;s performance before and after the big upgrade, comparing two 18-day periods that started on a Friday and ended on a Monday.</p>
<table border="1">
<tr>
<td><em>Activity</em></td>
<td><em>10.17 &#8211; 11.3 (Before)</em></td>
<td><em>11.7 &#8211; 11.24 (After)</em></td>
<td><em>Difference</em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Clients Requesting Tours</td>
<td>719</td>
<td>649</td>
<td>-70</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Clients Submitting Offers or Listings to Redfin</td>
<td>246</td>
<td>201</td>
<td>-45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Clients Engaging a Redfin Agent</td>
<td>0</td>
<td>122</td>
<td>+122</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Client Engaging Us on Several Fronts</td>
<td>106</td>
<td>165</td>
<td>+59</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Totals</strong></td>
<td><strong>1,071</strong></td>
<td><strong>1,137</strong></td>
<td><strong>+66 (+6.2%)<br />
</strong></td>
</tr>
</table>
<p>Each row counts the number of clients who engage only in tours or only in offers, with the second-to-last row tallying up the folks who got a combo (tour and then offer, engage an agent and then request a tour). <strong>The bottom line shows that the total number of clients engaged with Redfin increased by 66 or 6.2%</strong>. Comparing those same two periods, website visits were up only 2.55%, so the new program definitely converts better.</p>
<p>We were delighted to see that offer volumes hardly dropped at all, particularly since all our agents are saying the launch has significantly increased offer quality (it will take a few weeks to measure how many offers shake out but prior to the big upgrade a lot of people sent us born-to-lose offers, just as a way to be able to talk to someone and see what we were like). We have no idea why tour requests would drop, except perhaps because of the holidays; we still expect the number of clients touring with us to increase significantly.</p>
<p>But the small decreases in tours and offers were more than offset by 122 people using our website to engage a Redfin agent to guide them through the rest of the process. In the past 18 days, another 59 clients engaged us and have also already gone on a tour or made an offer.</p>
<p><strong>What Our Agents Are Saying</strong><a href="http://www.redfin.com/real-estate-agents/marshall-park" title="Northern Virginia real estate agent"><img src="http://p1.rfimg.us/static-images/real-estate-agents/agent-mark-reitman-chicago.jpg" alt="Mark Reitman" align="right" height="154" width="152" title="Good News for People Who Like Bad News (Redfin Upgrade is Working)" /><br />
</a>Reports from the field have also been good. <a href="http://www.redfin.com/real-estate-agents/marshall-park" title="Northern Virginia real estate agent">Marshall Park</a> reported that a couple he met face to face spent &#8220;thirty minutes shooting the breeze on offers, the  economy and the <a href="http://www.redfin.com/city/6790/VA/Fairfax" title="Fairfax real estate">northern Virginia market</a>&#8221; only to make an offer the next day. Out in <a href="http://www.redfin.com/city/11203/CA/Los-Angeles">LA</a>, <a href="http://www.redfin.com/real-estate-agents/joyti-goundar" title="Best LA real estate agent">Joyti Goundar</a> said pretty much the same thing: &#8220;people love the fact that they can send me an email to check status on a property and do some comps so we are prepared before we dive in.&#8221;</p>
<p>In <a href="http://www.redfin.com/city/29470/IL/Chicago" title="Chicago real estate">Chicago</a>, the ever-thoughtful <a href="http://www.redfin.com/real-estate-agents/mark-reitman" title="Chicago real estate agent">Mark Reitman</a> reported that &#8220;It seems, from the customer perspective, everyone loves the upgrade, without any hesitation about the new pricing structure.&#8221;</p>
<p>Of course no one is counting any chickens before they hatch. We can&#8217;t judge the upgrade a total success until some folks come out the other end. But we&#8217;re tentatively happy at how things have turned out so far.</p>
<p>Any folks who have actually used the new service,  please let us know what you think! And Happy Thanksgiving!</p>
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