Let’s check in on our stats to find out where buyers are currently getting the biggest discounts off asking price. If you are a potential buyer, this will help you to know which neighborhoods may be softer in terms of sale price discounts off list price, and help you know where to look for potential bargains.
In the charts below, we have taken all sales data from last month in Orange County and sorted it by city.
In order to maintain consistency with the automatically generated statistics posted to the Redfin neighborhood pages, we have slightly tweaked the way the statistics are compiled for this post series. First, we complied a list of every sale that took place in the month, calculating each sale’s sale-to-list ratio (based on the final list price). Next, we simply take an average of every individual sale’s sale-to-list ratio to calculate an entire area’s sale-to-list ratio. Any sales that came in with a sale-to-list ratio above 150% or below 50% are excluded from the calculation, and areas with fewer than twenty sales are excluded from the top and bottom ten rankings. Interested readers may download the full data summary in Excel format (xls).
Here are the top ten areas with the largest overall discount:
The overall discount rate was lower than our last update (and barely in the positive), but since we tweaked the methodology slightly, unfortunately they’re not really comparable.
Here are the ten areas with the smallest discounts:
In the 33 areas we ranked, the median discount was 1.6%.
Here’s the bonus graph, showing the discount off the original list price:
Looks like there are definitely still some sellers out there that are overestimating the current moderate strength in the market when they first list their house, especially over in Laguna.
Is the area you’re shopping not on either the top 10 or bottom 10? No problem, just download the full rankings in Excel format and hit the “FullSummary” sheet.
Of the 2,363 sales we tracked in the 1-month period, 498 homes sold for 5% or more off the asking price, while 279 homes sold for 5% or more above the asking price.