August 8, 2008

Foreclosures Still Going Up in Los Angeles

 Foreclosures Still Going Up in Los Angeleslos angeles zipcodes Foreclosures Still Going Up in Los AngelesWe’ve got to get rid of Palmdale – just let it have its own county. It’s killing LA’s foreclosure numbers. Property Shark’s July foreclosure report is out, and continuing a trend, it’s not pretty. Foreclosures are up 249% from the same time last year. As the chart to the right shows, that’s alot—5,982 newly-scheduled trustee sales to be exact. But as the bottom chart shows, the greatest number of defaults are still in the outlying areas like Palmdale and Lancaster. Some of the other zips, like the 90044 are lower-income areas (this one is Inglewood). Some other key findings in the report:

  • One in every 526 LA County homes scheduled in July — In Los Angeles, one in every 526 homes was scheduled for a first time foreclosure auction in July 2008. In comparison, New York City registers one in every 10,000 homes scheduled for foreclosure auction.
  • Lien amount exceeds $2 billion for new LA County foreclosures in July —This is the first month during the last two years in which the total aggregate lien amount from new LA County foreclosures has exceeded $2 billion. In Los Angeles County, the sum of the aggregate lien amounts for properties scheduled for trustee sales in July 2008 was $2,249,303,843.

  • I really appreciate your help.
  • There is an interesting study out of ASU Real Estate School (covered in May June issue of Personal Real Estate Investor Magazine that maps foreclosures to neighborhoods and age.

    This is particularly clear in Phoenix. Map looks like a bunch of bottle rocket trajectories. Start at CBD and follow freeways (older and crappier neighborhoods) out to recent new build (newer and crappier neighborhoods) where they burst like a sky rocket. The newer financing and goofy loan products sold (dare I say minority-on-minority lending fraud) on the less sustainable budget hid bad advice in the wish to partake in the American Dream. That's the bad news.

    The good news is that in the last 8 years we have moved home ownership and participation in the American Dream, nearly five points. At the most pessimistic retraction based on these very personal foreclosure tragedies, we will still have a sustained two and half point addition. That is nearly 7 million new households.

    Democracy, freedom and free enterprise also includes the right to make a dumb financial decision.

    Best: Andrew Waite
  • All those Los Angeles city zip codes listed in the chart are in pretty undesirable areas. The reports keep coming in with these huge percentage increases in foreclosures but they continue so far to be in the less desirable or outer lining areas of the county. So far prime Westside neighborhoods have had very little single family foreclosures. There are two REO's in Westwood currently. One is located at the intersection of Olympic and Veteran (2 busy streets). The other is at the end of Prosser where it meets Pico Blvd, an alley, and a parking lot of a paint store. But only time will tell if we see more foreclosures pop up in the prime Westside neighborhoods.

    http://www.thewestwoodblog.com
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