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	<title>Comments on: Case-Shiller: Home Prices Continue Dropping Rapidly in LA</title>
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	<link>http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html</link>
	<description>Redfin Los Angeles Sweet Digs</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sat, 21 Nov 2009 15:18:58 -0800</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: Chuck Ponzi</title>
		<link>http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html/comment-page-1#comment-22250</link>
		<dc:creator>Chuck Ponzi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Jan 2009 20:43:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html#comment-22250</guid>
		<description>Wow, Infiniti,

I think you&#039;ve all got Andy all wrong.

You see... it was all about excessive pessimism that&#039;s causing this decline in home prices.  If people just stopped being so negative towards home prices, they&#039;d stop falling.

It&#039;s what I&#039;d like to call a &quot;mental recession&quot;.  In fact, America isn&#039;t in a recession at all.  People can still get public assistance and then they can buy houses in Orange County and LA.  They can also invest in other consumer durables such as jet skis and vacation homes.  Don&#039;t you all know that real estate always goes up?

Jeebus, it&#039;s like talking to a bunch of bubble heads.

Chuck Ponzi :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wow, Infiniti,</p>
<p>I think you&#8217;ve all got Andy all wrong.</p>
<p>You see&#8230; it was all about excessive pessimism that&#8217;s causing this decline in home prices.  If people just stopped being so negative towards home prices, they&#8217;d stop falling.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s what I&#8217;d like to call a &#8220;mental recession&#8221;.  In fact, America isn&#8217;t in a recession at all.  People can still get public assistance and then they can buy houses in Orange County and LA.  They can also invest in other consumer durables such as jet skis and vacation homes.  Don&#8217;t you all know that real estate always goes up?</p>
<p>Jeebus, it&#8217;s like talking to a bunch of bubble heads.</p>
<p>Chuck Ponzi <img src='http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Me</title>
		<link>http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html/comment-page-1#comment-21840</link>
		<dc:creator>Me</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jan 2009 13:26:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html#comment-21840</guid>
		<description>Wow, Andy.  You really missed that one.  I&#039;m sure your right this time though.  Why in the world would we judge someone&#039;s current reasoning on their past track record.

One question: who does it feel to suck so bad at your life&#039;s work?  Your future epitaph:

He lies Andrew Waite
at being a hack, he was really great.

Now, go kiss your wife and kids, they must be so proud, and understand that some people listen to you and will get hurt but trusting you.  I understand you are just trying to promote your business but life is short, don&#039;t screw it up by thinking it&#039;s all about making money.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wow, Andy.  You really missed that one.  I&#8217;m sure your right this time though.  Why in the world would we judge someone&#8217;s current reasoning on their past track record.</p>
<p>One question: who does it feel to suck so bad at your life&#8217;s work?  Your future epitaph:</p>
<p>He lies Andrew Waite<br />
at being a hack, he was really great.</p>
<p>Now, go kiss your wife and kids, they must be so proud, and understand that some people listen to you and will get hurt but trusting you.  I understand you are just trying to promote your business but life is short, don&#8217;t screw it up by thinking it&#8217;s all about making money.</p>
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		<title>By: SCVTalk.com &#187; Blog Archive &#187; January 7, 2008 - Daily Brief</title>
		<link>http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html/comment-page-1#comment-21825</link>
		<dc:creator>SCVTalk.com &#187; Blog Archive &#187; January 7, 2008 - Daily Brief</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2009 18:17:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html#comment-21825</guid>
		<description>[...] peak, but they tumbled further and faster than in other metropolitan areas in the country. Check Redfin for the charts then reach for your [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] peak, but they tumbled further and faster than in other metropolitan areas in the country. Check Redfin for the charts then reach for your [...]</p>
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		<title>By: David</title>
		<link>http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html/comment-page-1#comment-21739</link>
		<dc:creator>David</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Jan 2009 01:33:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html#comment-21739</guid>
		<description>Come on, obviously it was a typo. Andrew meant the 1st Qtr of 2009... or 10 or 11.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Come on, obviously it was a typo. Andrew meant the 1st Qtr of 2009&#8230; or 10 or 11.</p>
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		<title>By: HB Bear</title>
		<link>http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html/comment-page-1#comment-21707</link>
		<dc:creator>HB Bear</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Jan 2009 21:16:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html#comment-21707</guid>
		<description>I have to agree with Infiniti: this Andrew character has proven he can&#039;t asses a market as proven by his article prematurely calling the bottom as the market declined at an historic pace.

That he would believe that anyone, including Case/Shiller, would be interested in what he has to say is beyond me.

Ignore the Case/Shiller data at your peril.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have to agree with Infiniti: this Andrew character has proven he can&#8217;t asses a market as proven by his article prematurely calling the bottom as the market declined at an historic pace.</p>
<p>That he would believe that anyone, including Case/Shiller, would be interested in what he has to say is beyond me.</p>
<p>Ignore the Case/Shiller data at your peril.</p>
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		<title>By: infiniti</title>
		<link>http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html/comment-page-1#comment-21694</link>
		<dc:creator>infiniti</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Jan 2009 06:05:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html#comment-21694</guid>
		<description>Andrew Waite,

You sir should just go away. Case / Shiller won&#039;t respond to you because you are an idiot.

http://www.reinusa.com/ReinReport/Market_Bottom_Called.pdf

Sincerely, 

Renter who knows how to value real estate.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Andrew Waite,</p>
<p>You sir should just go away. Case / Shiller won&#8217;t respond to you because you are an idiot.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.reinusa.com/ReinReport/Market_Bottom_Called.pdf" rel="nofollow">http://www.reinusa.com/ReinReport/Market_Bottom_Called.pdf</a></p>
<p>Sincerely, </p>
<p>Renter who knows how to value real estate.</p>
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		<title>By: Andrew Waite</title>
		<link>http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html/comment-page-1#comment-21687</link>
		<dc:creator>Andrew Waite</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 2008 20:58:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html#comment-21687</guid>
		<description>The S&amp;P/Case Shiller index is bad for American Consumer Confidence because of their objectives and methodology. Only 20 most volatile cities, only up to 5000 sales pairs per city (MSA) to create an index for a vast multi-market housing basket. (23, by city, rolled up by 10, then 20 then national)

Case Shiller uses a laughably small sample that lumps all neighborhoods together to get to an index. This overweights foreclosures in modest neighborhoods so drags down the MSA average. 

Go look at the better indexes and most obviously those that address specific discrete address valuations at IAS360, NAR and OFHEO. All show a significantly lower drop than Case Shiller. 

Also see Personal Real Estate Investor Magazine January cover story outlining the agenda Karl and Bob have with MacroMarkets to pump their housing index hedge find. Anyone smell conflict? 

We tried to interview them for the article and they would not talk while their PR agency lied abut their availability. Even the NYT prefers IAS360 to Case Shiller as the holes and conflict are beginning to bother that &quot;bastion of truth and editorial objectivity.&quot;

Best Andrew Waite
www.PersonalRealEstateInvestor.Mag</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The S&amp;P/Case Shiller index is bad for American Consumer Confidence because of their objectives and methodology. Only 20 most volatile cities, only up to 5000 sales pairs per city (MSA) to create an index for a vast multi-market housing basket. (23, by city, rolled up by 10, then 20 then national)</p>
<p>Case Shiller uses a laughably small sample that lumps all neighborhoods together to get to an index. This overweights foreclosures in modest neighborhoods so drags down the MSA average. </p>
<p>Go look at the better indexes and most obviously those that address specific discrete address valuations at IAS360, NAR and OFHEO. All show a significantly lower drop than Case Shiller. </p>
<p>Also see Personal Real Estate Investor Magazine January cover story outlining the agenda Karl and Bob have with MacroMarkets to pump their housing index hedge find. Anyone smell conflict? </p>
<p>We tried to interview them for the article and they would not talk while their PR agency lied abut their availability. Even the NYT prefers IAS360 to Case Shiller as the holes and conflict are beginning to bother that &#8220;bastion of truth and editorial objectivity.&#8221;</p>
<p>Best Andrew Waite<br />
<a href="http://www.PersonalRealEstateInvestor.Mag" rel="nofollow">http://www.PersonalRealEstateInvestor.Mag</a></p>
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		<title>By: Case-Shiller: Rapid Home Price Declines in OC &#124; Redfin Orange County Sweet Digs</title>
		<link>http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html/comment-page-1#comment-21665</link>
		<dc:creator>Case-Shiller: Rapid Home Price Declines in OC &#124; Redfin Orange County Sweet Digs</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Dec 2008 16:59:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.redfin.com/losangeles/2008/12/case-shiller_home_prices_continue_dropping_rapidly_in_la.html#comment-21665</guid>
		<description>[...] Since Case-Shiller lumps LA and Orange Counties together, I won’t repeat everything I wrote on the LA Sweet Digs blog. For more analysis and some graphs of the LA Case-Shiller data, check out my post over there: Case-Shiller: Home Prices Continue Dropping Rapidly in LA. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Since Case-Shiller lumps LA and Orange Counties together, I won’t repeat everything I wrote on the LA Sweet Digs blog. For more analysis and some graphs of the LA Case-Shiller data, check out my post over there: Case-Shiller: Home Prices Continue Dropping Rapidly in LA. [...]</p>
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