February 8, 2008

Heads Up! Falling Prices

What Goes Up must Come Down

dollars ovoid Heads Up!  Falling PricesYou may have heard that the boom has ended. Personally I’m a bit tired of it. Facts, figures, statistics, and opinions have filled every media outlet for many months now. The herd mentality of the media is hard to stop whether it’s Brittney, Presidential candidate intrigue or HP (housing panic). Does it really matter to you if San Diego prices are down xx%, or if inventory is up xx%? If you are a buyer you are only interested in the one house you will buy. If you are a seller, your concern is finding the ideal buyer. The actual price of the transaction has little to do with broad statistics.

Here are some homes that may be a bargain and they may offer the amenities that you need. These are all condos with extras that single family homes rarely offer. Notice that one comes in at only $122 per square foot! Take a look and forget about headline hype for a few minutes.

5700 Baltimore Drive, La Mesa

5700 baltimore drlm Heads Up!  Falling Prices

After 9 days the price dropped 40 thousand! Many comps from $235k to $340k. HOA Fee: $334/month. “Walk to Lake Murray and all the stores and restuants. Golf & Cowles mountain close”

Address Bd/Ba $/SqFt Orig Now Comment
5700 Baltimore Dr,LM 2/2.5 $224 $279k $239k built 1976, listed 9 days ↑
268 S Pierce,EC 2/1.5 $122 $210k $130k 1980, 57 days, HOA $248/mo
8731 Graves Av,Santee 1/1 $194 $150k $135k 1987, 29 days, HOA $170/mo+
8150 Winter Gardens,Lksd 2/2 $215 $225k $199k 1979, HOA fee $175/month
5708 Baltimore Dr,LM 2/1 $319 $299k $239k built 1976, listed 142 days ↓

5708 Baltimore Drive, La Mesa

5708 baltimore drlm Heads Up!  Falling Prices

Agent says, ” Right on the Lake!3rd. Floor View of Lake Murray & Cowels Mnt.” This complex offers many amenities for a HOA fee of $303/month. Condos such as this are sold as much for the lifestyle they offer as the actual living space.

Don’t let illiterate agents bother you. You will probably find it easier to negotiate a lower price with someone who is in too much of a hurry to write a legible property description. Follow up on these links, look at the comparables on the Redfin detail page. Jump to some that look interesting.

Since these are mostly big complexes, you can go there and get a feel for the local environment. Talk to residents, management and neighbors. Is there guest parking, is the laundry room clean, are there screaming children or junk cars in the parking area? Home owner fees can be significant and they can change significantly- are you comfortable with that for the long term? Are the residents owners or renters? A community of absentee owners isn’t a healthy community. Enjoy your explorations and let me know how it goes.

[data from generally reliable sources, please comment on any errors!]


  • hi Joe

    These Realtors who can't spell or write coherent sentences or take a decent photograph probably aren't clever enough to be very dishonest. Yes, it's dishonest to treat a client with such neglect, but it doesn't profit the agent.

    I've had many good experiences with Realtors and enjoy their company. Many will be finding other work soon as the market suffers and technology changes the scene. I recently heard a rumor that we had about 22,000 agents and 22,000 sales last year. Not good news for agents. Let's hope the remaining ones are the best. Feel free to use a Redfin agent who doesn't hunger for a fat commission.

  • JOE

    Is it that hard to find an honest realtor sales person? I educate myself about real estate and I do not tell the sales person that I know what she or he is talking about. What is happening are they will try hard to squeeze more money out of you on closing? They also love to bait and switch and if you do not know what is happening before signing that sale contract, you are out of luck with hidden charges. How can this be stop and I mean stop forever to not happen. It looks to me it’s a circle that keeps coming around with no one regulating this dishonest realtors to stop and that includes the broker. I found out with my experience that a big percentage are doing dishonest job to bleed you with more money. MY QUESTION IS VERY SIMPLE HOW THIS CAN BE STOP AND FIND A HONEST BROKER OR REALTOR?

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