February 15, 2008

Are We Seeing 2004 Prices?

2004 Are We Seeing 2004 Prices?While we all know that prices are dropping, Today’s Daily Stat Leader made me think that we are approaching pricing levels that are at the 2004 mark. Listed for $600,000, this 40-year-old San Jose home is priced just $25,000 more than it sold for in September of that year. While it is not specified as a foreclosure or bank-owned property, the last time this home changed hands (November 2006), it went for $739,000. And given the fact that the photos are devoid of any signs of life, save the notes on the refrigerator door, it may very well be vacant and under a cloud of some sort. Located in the Blossom Valley, this looks like a very nice home, well within Zillow and eppraisal estimates, close in price to similar listings, as well as recent sales. The only thing that bothered me was that there are 3 other properties on this street, within a one-block radius, that are for sale or have recently sold. Is it something in the water?

For some more doom and gloom, check out the front page of the SF Chron today. The headline screams at you, “How Low Will We Go?”

Recent Sweet Digs Posts:
Sales Drought on the Mid-Peninsula
Livin’ Large Near Downtown Walnut Creek


  • Hibryd
    I think it depends what market you're looking at. I've been keeping an eye on the entry-level west Silicon Valley listings (around or below $500K in Sunnyvale, Mountain View, Saratoga, etc.) and I can say that 2004 is right about on the money. If it's a higher-end house in a better school district, well, it seems like those sky-high prices are sticking around.

    Why the split? I think that, while there may be few high-end buyers, there's even fewer high-end sellers. What's taking the entry-level market down is a lot of short sales and foreclosures. Wherever there's foreclosure activity, there's lower prices. (Lord help you if you're trying to unload a house in East San Jose right now.)
  • David
    Home prices really became disconnected from income and interest rates around 2003-2004. So it's not surprising that we'll be seeing those prices. I think we'll probably go back to 2001-2002 prices, which would put us back on the long-term trendline for home prices around here, adjusted for inflation.
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