February 23, 2008

It’s Down Down Down on the Up Up Uplands: A Market in Microcosm

 Its Down Down Down on the Up Up Uplands: A Market in Microcosm

Three homes on the same upscale Berkeley street (mapped above) and their sales, or attempted sales, stories. If you needed a snapshot of where we’re at, this is it.

uplands 118 Its Down Down Down on the Up Up Uplands: A Market in Microcosm

First up, towards the top of this hilly, winding street is 118 The Uplands (above), a 4/2.5 gray stucco home with elegant living areas and views of the Claremont hills. Bought in 2000 for $1,450,000, it went on the market in September 2007 for $1,800,000. Barely a month later the price was down to $1,650,000. The following month it sold for $1,550,000.

 Its Down Down Down on the Up Up Uplands: A Market in Microcosm

We saunter down the street to 26 The Uplands, a 3++/2, 3-story brown-shingle house with some nice original features in need of updating and reached by public steps (above). Bought decades ago for a song (let’s say nowhere near six figures) it goes on the market in January for $1,395,000. Finding no bidders it is reduced to $1,275,000 this week and, I hear, an offer has been forthcoming although no contract as yet.

 Its Down Down Down on the Up Up Uplands: A Market in Microcosm

Finally, we skip a few doors down almost to where the street merges into Claremont Avenue and encounter 14 The Uplands, a rambling 5/4.5 white shingle house which needs work (above). It went on the market this week, for the first time in more than 50 years, for $1,250,000.

To recap those starting (rounded up) prices again: $1.8m, $1.4m, $1.3m. You’re getting the picture, right?

spruce769 Its Down Down Down on the Up Up Uplands: A Market in Microcosm

Plummeting property values are not restricted to south Berkeley, of course. In the north of the city, a house I first reviewed, and liked, when it went on the market in February 2007 has just made a reappearance on the MLS. Back then the original asking price for 769 Spruce Street (above) a 4/3.5 home designed by Edwin Lewis Snyder was $1,750,000. By March it was down to $1,625,000 after which it went off market –whether sold or not I do not know. Today it could be yours for $1,250,000. You can do the math but I’ll do it for you: that’s a half million, or 29% drop in 12 months.

I’m a (prospective) buyer but I do have a heart and this is all making me feel mighty sorry for sellers.


  • David
    You have a heart that's way too big. Can't feel sorry for someone who can't get $2M on a house they bought for $200K 20 years ago.

    I like that we're seeing 2000 prices even in the "good" neighborhoods. Where's the usual cheerleading section saying how prices are "stable" in the nice areas?

    flat prices for 8 years= -30% inflation-adjusted.
  • We sold an all brick house at 2800 Shasta a few years ago. It took longer to sell... in part because it was brick, in part because it was quite an unusual floor plan!

    Don't judge a house by its cover (walls). What might appear to be a brick house is usually just a brick facade.

    Regarding slide zones... there are some streets which are roller coasters (Anson and Jessen in the Blakemont Slide Zone in Kensington).... and others you'd hardly know were in slide zones!

    Remember though... gravity isn't just a good idea... it's the law.

    Alan Kropp & Associates has excellent resources at http://akropp.com/resources.ht...

    You can download their full-color landslide map, described as "(Active and Potentially Active Landslides in the Berkeley Hills)", and a "Guide to maintenance of Hillside Homes"

    Ira Serkes
  • Optionarm: Both very good points. It is true that the current listing for Spruce does not mention the adjacent lot so that may go some way to explaining the price drop. Your question about brick-built homes is very interesting and I don't know the answer. It's certainly true that brick homes are few and far between in this area. Any readers have insights or a view on this?
  • optionarm
    I'm curious how other people feel about buying a brick house in earthquake country. My sense is that "the market" doesn't seem to discount these homes very much, which must mean that some buyers don't care. I've noticed the same thing about houses that are in the slide zone around Marin Ave -- hardly any discount at all.

    601 Euclid has a little bit of brick. Is there a distinction between brick that is "structural" and brick trim?
  • optionarm
    I saved all the listing notices in my e-mail. 769 Spruce first went on the market on October 7, 2006 for $1,850,000. The previous listings for 769 Spruce always mentioned an adjacent vacant lot that was included. I don't see that in the current listing so maybe that accounts for part of the drop in asking price?
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